Monckton to UN: ‘In the 16 years we have been coming to these conferences, there has been no global warming’
Calls to ‘deport Monckton’ from UN conference in Qatar
Inhofe, Monckton crash U.N. talks with gusto
eenews.net | Dec 6, 2012
by Jean Chemnick
Lord Christopher Monckton attends the 18th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in his guise as “Monckton of Arabia.” Earlier in the week he rode a camel with, he said, “indifferent success.” Photo courtesy of CFACT.
DOHA, Qatar — Delegates at the U.N. climate talks here who have complained about President Obama dragging his feet on everything from emissions reduction to aid for poor countries got an earful today from an American who maintains Obama has done far too much on climate change.
“Over the past decade, I have been leading the charge in Washington to make sure the global warming hoax is exposed,” said Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) in a video address shown at a side event hosted by the skeptic group Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT). Also appearing was Lord Christopher Monckton, another celebrity among climate skeptics.
Inhofe introduced himself as the “chief critic of President Obama’s far-left green agenda,” which drew laughs from some in attendance.
The top Republican on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, Inhofe has visited previous rounds of the climate talks, serving, in his words, as a “one-man truth squad.” His prediction at the Copenhagen, Denmark, talks three years ago that Democrats would fumble cap-and-trade legislation proved true, though the Obama administration is moving ahead with greenhouse gas regulations under the Clean Air Act.
The United States has failed to act quickly enough in the views of many delegates and participants here. The air regulations and other steps the country is taking might let it meet its Copenhagen commitment of a 17 percent emissions reduction by 2020, they say, but they won’t be enough to avoid the worst effects of man-made climate change.
Speaking on a panel immediately after the CFACT event, China’s head of delegation Xie Zhenhua dismissed as “inadequate” both the U.S. emissions pledge and its offer of financing for poor countries’ adaptation and carbon reduction projects.
U.S. negotiator Todd Stern’s statement this week that America would at least hold steady at its current rate of climate-related giving was jeered by poor countries whose delegates said the United States should ramp up from the $7.5 billion it gave between 2010 and 2012.
Inhofe disagrees. He criticized Obama for helping to broker a deal in Copenhagen in which industrial nations pledged to donate $100 billion a year by the end of this decade to help poor countries cope with climate change. He called it a “slush fund.”
“While he has been racking up huge deficits and talking up tax increases, the president has already sent billions of American taxpayer dollars to the United Nations — and he’s managed to do it quietly so that no one will notice,” Inhofe said.
Some of that money appeared to be allowing delegates to live it up each year at meetings in exotic locales, he said, and he advised his comrades from CFACT to get in on the party.
“Remember, the worst crisis that happened in Copenhagen was that they ran out of caviar, so get some good stuff before it’s gone!” he said.
There has been little caviar in evidence at this year’s event. Qatar’s emir did throw a dinner party earlier this week for the lucky elite, but most attendees have been subsisting on soggy tomato sandwiches and weak coffee from the “Grab and Go.”
Monckton dons desert garb, promotes his paper
While Congress’ lame-duck legislative session prevented Inhofe from coming to Doha, Monckton has been in attendance all week to talk with delegates and promote a new study that he says shows there has been no temperature rise for 16 years.
Acting to curb emissions, he said, would be costlier than adapting to climate change after it happens, if it happens.
Earlier this week, Monckton sported a traditional Qatari white robe and gutra, or traditional headdress, given to him by his host — an unidentified local businessman — at dinner one night.
He said in a brief interview before the CFACT event that the desert clothes were “eminently comfortable” and that his host had been impressed he had made use of them.
“But of course, the downside is you look a bit of a twerp,” he said.
Monckton, who’s a British politician and former newspaper editor, said he had encountered considerable push-back from attendees when he attempted to share his findings that man-made climate change doesn’t exist and that there has been no warming of any kind for more than a decade.
His findings conflict with the research of almost every national scientific organization, the World Bank and numerous other institutions.
“It’s beginning to be a bit of a hard sell to the public that they need to have the largest tax in history imposed upon them in the name of saving a planet that was triumphantly saved 2,000 years ago and doesn’t need to be saved again,” he said, in an apparent reference to Christ.
The governing class, he said, is in cahoots with grant-seeking scientists in “clinging by its fingernails to these exotic stupidities,” out of fear that they would be seen to be wrong and lose credibility.
Monckton waved away the notion that his study is less valid than those conducted by degree-bearing scientists from relevant fields, most of which have supported the idea of man-made climate change.
He says his study relies on data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on likely temperature rise this century and former World Bank economist Lord Nicholas Stern’s data on the cost of that rise, even though he said, “I don’t believe either of those.”
The Monckton paper then considers a “standard appraisal” of the cost of carbon mitigation and concludes that it is nearly 50 times as expensive to stop climate change as to adapt to it.
His conclusion: “Even if there were as big a problem as the usual subjects would like us to believe, it would still be an order of magnitude more cost effective and less expensive to spend not a single red cent on any climate change related activity at all today, and instead to direct resources in a focused way toward adaptation in the future.”
Last year, he and a few like-minded companions jumped out of a plane to gain publicity for their point of view, but the 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley found a safer way to make waves this conference.
Monckton gets evicted
After the news conference, and as diplomats gathered for the climate conference president’s assessment of how close countries are to agreement, Monckton quietly slipped into the seat reserved for the delegation of Myanmar and clicked the button to speak.
“In the 16 years we have been coming to these conferences, there has been no global warming,” Monckton said as confused murmurs filled the hall and then turned into a chorus of boos.
The stunt infuriated negotiators and activists here who gather every year to address what they believe is one of the world’s top threats, the steady rise of man-made global warming.
As Monckton was escorted from the hall and security officers stripped him of his U.N. credentials, several people noted that just a few hours earlier a group of young activists had been thrown out of the convention center and deported. Their crime: unfurling an unauthorized banner calling for the Qatari hosts to lead the negotiations to a strong conclusion.
By late today, several activists attending the conference had posted calls to “deport Monckton” on their Twitter feeds.
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From Climate Depot
Related links on 16 year global warming pause:
UK Daily Mail: ‘Global warming stopped 16 years ago’ according to UK Met Office ‘quietly released’ report — ‘Pause’ in warming lasted about same time as when temps rose, 1980 to 1996′
‘The new data, compiled from more than 3,000 measuring points on land & sea, was issued quietly on internet, without any media fanfare, & , until today, it has not been reported. This stands in sharp contrast to release of previous figures 6 months ago, which went only to end of 2010 – a very warm year…From beginning of 1997 until August 2012 there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temps.’
UK Daily Mail: ‘Claim that there has been any statistically significant warming for past 16 years is therefore unsustainable’ — Reaffirms ‘a 16-year ‘pause’ in rising temps’
‘Two new separate peer-reviewed studies, published in prestigious academic journals last week [challenged ‘Hockey Stick’] — ‘The level of warmth during the peak of the MWP in the second half of the 10th Century, equaled or slightly exceeded the mid-20th Century warming.’ There was also a pronounced warming period in Roman times’
Flashback 2011: A PNAS peer-reviewed admission that ‘global surface temperatures did not rise between 1998 and 2008’
Prof. Judith Curry on 16 year global temps: ‘ Nothing in Met Office’s statement…effectively refutes [UK Daily Mail] Rose’s argument that there has been no increase in global avg. surface temps for past 16 years’
Curry defends UK Daily Mail article: ‘How does this refute Rose’s argument? No statistically significant positive trend, and it makes it look like [warmist Skeptical Science] hasn’t done their homework with the latest data’
Prof. Curry: ‘I think Rose’s 2nd article is well done. He lays out arguments the other ‘side’ is making, & provides his response. It is a reasonable portrayal of debate surrounding this issue’
Judith Curry: ‘The trend since 1997 is very small, much smaller than the decadal trend of 0.2C that we have been led to expect by the IPCC for the early part of the 21st century…’
Analysis on 16 year ‘pause’ in global wamring: ‘Regarding the significance of the period from 1997, recall that Dr. Ben Santer claimed 17 years was the period needed’
‘They find that tropospheric temperature records must be at least 17 years long to discriminate between internal climate noise and the signal of human-caused changes in the chemical composition of the atmosphere.’ — MIT Professor Richard Lindzen said something similar in a WUWT guest post: ‘There has been no warming since 1997 and no statistically significant warming since 1995.’
Lüning/Vahrenholt On HadCRUT’s 16 Years Of No Warming: ‘Tough Times Ahead For Climate Science’ — ‘It turns out that everything that had been suspected was confirmed’
‘This is a completely unexpected development when one considers how all the boldly confident forecasts from the IPCC predicted more warming. The release of new HadCRUT figures occurred almost in absolute silence, without any media buzz whatsoever…One really has got to wonder that Jones has suddenly extended his personal threshold of pain to 20 years, and now claims that phases of no warming 15-16 years long had always been expected.’
Prof. Judith Curry: ‘The data confirms existence of a ‘pause’ in warming’: ‘The natural variability has been shown over past 2 decades to have a magnitude that dominates greenhouse warming signal’
Curry: ‘It is becoming increasingly apparent that our attribution of warming since 1980 and future projections of climate change needs to consider natural internal variability as a factor of fundamental importance. I sincerely hope that the AR5 provides an assessment of what we know and what we don’t know and areas of disagreement, rather than trying to manufacture a consensus.’
New Phil Jones quote: ‘We don’t know what natural variability is doing’ — ‘We don’t fully understand how to input things like changes in the oceans’
‘…and because we don’t fully understand it you could say that natural variability is now working to suppress the warming. We don’t know what natural variability is doing..’
Climategate’s Phil Jones ‘insisted that 15 or 16 years is not a significant period: pauses of such length had always been expected, he said’ in 2012
‘Yet in 2009, when the [temperature] plateau was already becoming apparent and being discussed by scientists, Jones told a colleague in one of the Climategate emails: ‘Bottom line: the ‘no upward trend’ has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried.’ — ‘In other words, though 5 years ago he seemed to be saying that 15 years without warming would make him ‘worried’, that period has now become 20 years’
Flashback 2009: Prof. Pielke Jr.: ‘Kudos to NOAA for being among the first to explicitly state what sort of observation would be inconsistent with model predictions — 15 years of no warming’
‘The UK Met Office says world has warmed by 0.03 deg C per decade since 1997…But what the Met Office doesn’t say is that this is statistically insignificant’
‘There is no case to be made for a statistically significant increase in global temperatures as given in the Hadcrut4 dataset between 1997 and August 2012. The Met Office says the 15-year standstill is not unusual. This is true but again the Met Office is being economical with the truth’
NOAA’s ’15 year statement’ from 2008 puts a kibosh on the current Met Office ‘insignificance’ claims that global warming flatlined for 16 years
‘Yet, today, we see evidence of the goalposts being moved again as the Met Office tries to paint this lack of warming ‘plateau’ as being insignificant…So we are at 16 years, soon to be 17 years. What happens when we hit 20 years? Either the models are worth something or they aren’t. In this case it seems they aren’t’
UK Met Office: CO2 causes warming; other factors cause cooling — ‘We have known for some time that [multi-decadal oceanic cycles] may act to slow down or accelerate observed warming trend’
‘We also know that changes in the surface temperature occur not just due to internal variability, but are also influenced by ‘external forcings’, such as changes in solar activity, volcanic eruptions or aerosol emissions. Combined, several of these factors could account for some or all of the reduced warming trend seen over the last decade – but this is an area of ongoing research’
Analysis: Global Warming Standstill Confirmed:
‘There is now no consistent increase in temperature seen in this data. The data, displayed this way, reveals that far from showing a steady underlying rate of warming the global temperature has had two standstills, with curiously, the 1998 super El Nino delineating them.’